Wednesday, January 31, 2007
Wine, Beer, Seafood, and Music Festival Festival
Tuesday, January 30, 2007
Surveying the Tourists
I enjoyed learning about the Dennett Group's visitor research for Southern Oregon. I want to follow up on the brief conversation we had about potential problems.
First consider the following simple model. Cities A and B each have 1,000 population. Everyone in A visits Southern Oregon once a year. 100 people in B visit Southern Oregon 10 times a year and no one else. If you sample the populations of A and B at home, you will decide that 10X as many SO visitors are from A as B. If you conduct intercepts in SO, you will get the same number of A and B. Longwoods is based on the former, and you on the latter. You won't get the same results.
You remarked that the only problems to worry about would be systematic sources of error. Here are five.
1) Assume that there is a decreasing likelihood on any particular trip of someone going to a Visitor Center. Your method will understate the number of trips to SO that a particular visitor takes.
2) However, since the cumulative likelihood of being at a visitor center at least once increases with more trips, you will paradoxically overweight the demographics of people who visit SO repeatedly.
3) You will underweight low incomes, because such people are less likely to base decisions on reading matter, which is what they get in visitor centers.
4) You will underweight "visiting friends and relatives" because such people have a built-in source of visitor information that is not available to FIT folks. They are consequently less likely to enter a visitor center.
5) You will underweight people who get their information from the Internet. Someone who has printed a local map from Mapquest doesn't need to get one from the visitor center.
You have a very accurate survey underway of exactly what it appears to be -- the profile of the average person who walks into a visitor center, or to a small degree an attraction. You also have useful information for the lodging, shopping, and dining folks, but it certainly won't be definitive.
I have devised a strategy for doing an online survey for the Oregon Coast. It will have errors, as does yours, but it will give useful information. It will say less about visitors to visitor centers but more about occupants of hotel rooms. I will be curious to see what differences appear between your results, my results, and Longwoods.
Rob Spooner, Publisher
Oregon Coast Magazine
Sunday, January 28, 2007
Reedsport Annual Dinner Report
Our very own Theresa Hart took over as the 2007 chamber president. She is a very polished speaker, which was evident during the evening. Reedsport is lucky that she agreed to take the job.
Saturday, January 27, 2007
Friday, January 26, 2007
The Reedsport Chamber Dinner
Thursday, January 25, 2007
The Coos Wagon Road
If you follow the route to the coast in order to get married, ask Wren Smart for her assistance. She's experienced at it, having helped many people get married and having done it three times herself.
Wednesday, January 24, 2007
Connie and Jennifer in Lincoln City
Tuesday, January 23, 2007
There are some interesting bed and breakfasts around Astoria. One of them is the Uppertown Bed and Breakfast. Another is the Rosebriar Inn. There are a number of nice hotels in Astoria as well, but you can try one of these for an even cozier experience.
Monday, January 22, 2007
Our Open Coast
Friday, January 19, 2007
In an era when we ask ourselves sometimes whether there are enough public spirited people in Oregon to make a difference, the beach cleanups routinely gather more than 3000 volunteers for this day of work. It will be even more impressive if we ever see Wren Smart out on the beach doing a good deed for someone else.
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
Oregon Dune Mushers Mail Run
It's a non-competitive endurance race where each musher carries commemorative envelopes signed by that musher and carried over the trail on the dunes. The stamp on each envelope is "cancelled" at North Bend, Lakeside, and again in Florence as part of the organizers' fund raising. Teams range from 4 to 10 dogs and cover the 70 miles over the space of two days.
You can get a good look at the dogs while they are running by stopping at the Oregon Dunes "Day Use Area," formerly and more intuitively entitled the Dunes Overlook. But some bureaucrat felt this wasn't sufficient, so your federal tax money was spent changing the name and all the signs.
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
Astoria is older than the rest of us
The Astoria chamber of commerce has invited us to attend their annual dinner later this month. It was quite an affair last time we attended, which was a few years back, and I'd like to do it again. It's important for Oregon Coast Magazine to be part of affairs like this.
One of the things about Astoria is that you're reminded of how much older Astoria is than anywhere else on the Oregon Coast. I don't remember exactly, but I think the last dinner we attended was something like the 125th annual. We're down here in Florence and there hasn't even been a city here for that long. Florence has something it calls Old Town Florence, which consists mostly of building designed to look old and a couple that are from the first decade of the 20th century.
Actually, Astoria doesn't have that much really old stuff in its downtown, most of which burned down 80 years ago. The Liberty Theater looks really old, but it's really just a late Vaudeville theater that was converted to movies.
Sunday, January 14, 2007
Largest Spruce: New Candidate for Disaster Tourism
When life gives you a lemon, make lemonade. We will hate to see it fall, but there may as well be a silver lining. Disasters are big draws. Rubberneckers slow down traffic to pass accidents. Idiots hear tsunami warnings and rush to the beach for a better view.
We should do something like that for the Klootchy Creek spruce. Sell tickets to watch it. The Oregon Lottery could start a game; winner guesses when it falls. If it starts to go, it'll be even more of an attraction. Nobody would watch the Tower of Pisa if it weren't leaning, would they?
All this levity masks my deep dismay. I'm a tree-hugger at heart. I love the big ones. It will be a shame to see this one go.
Wednesday, January 10, 2007
Tuesday, January 09, 2007
Entertainment for January
January 10 – Rick Bartow Group – Kernville Steakhouse – Lincoln City – Great music and a lot of fun, they’re becoming an institution here! You oughta check ‘em out! 7-10 PM. FMI 541-994-6200
January 12 – 14 – World Poker Satellite Tournaments – The Mill Casino Hotel – North Bend – The final round winner wins a seat at the WPT in Las Vegas. FMI 800-953-4800
January 13 – Triple Creek – Kernville Steakhouse – Lincoln City – Our friends from the valley return to our stage. A wonderfully versatile trio of guitarists that’ll bend your ears and minds! FMI 541-994-6200
January 17 – Joe Dobroe & Evans Longshore – Kernville Steakhouse – Lincoln City - Again, a delightful evening of music in store for you when these fellas start swingin’ their axes on the bandstand! They’ve got the chops and the chips will fall! 7–10 PM. FMI 541-994-6200
January 19 – Jimmy Bivens – Kernville Steakhouse – Lincoln City – Jimmy’s cool, he’s tall, sings fun songs, has a nice voice, wears a baseball cap, plays the tambourine with his feet… looks like he just got off the beach and you’re gonna love him! Heck, we do! FMI 541-994-6200
January 19 – 20 – Comedy on the Coast – Chinook Winds Casino – Willie Tyler & Lester, Michael Pace, with host Jeff Capri. FMI 888-MAIN-ACT (624-6228)
Information courtesy of Oregon Coast Visitors Association
Monday, January 08, 2007
Weddings on the Oregon Coast
Fun and Games in Reedsport
Sunday, January 07, 2007
However, one bird that won't be seen much along the trail is the Snowy Plover. To begin with, there hardly are any. Secondly, they tend to congregate in areas where people don't ordinarily go. Thirdly, the government is trying very hard to keep those few people who might bump into a plover away from those few places where they could be found.
This raises an interesting question. The government has cordoned off the areas where the plover breeds, at least during the breeding season. Nobody except the government actually sees them in action. They go to a lot of trouble and expense protecting the plovers from their natural enemies.
But would it make any difference if they shut down these areas and then didn't actually do anything? The plover is so rare that they can actually count nearly every one. It is too rare to have any impact on the environment. I have no idea what it eats, but the handful of predators that eat plovers and their eggs would starve if they had nothing else. They probably wouldn't lose weight if they had no plovers at all.
And it's not as though there aren't plovers. This species is found all around the world. There is another population in Eastern Oregon that is doing just fine. We don't actually need snowy plovers on the Oregon Coast in order to save the planet, so why don't we just "declare victory." Set aside some areas of the dunes and announce that there are now plenty of plovers there, but nobody can go look. The government could then stop fretting over them and use the money for something more productive.
Saturday, January 06, 2007
Different kinds of Good Weather
And we're getting some pretty good wind as well. Angelia Moor, one of our ad reps, just moved to a condo on the oceanfront in Rockaway Beach from the safety of her home in Lake Oswego. Just in time for some near-hurricane winds.
One of the great things out here, for sure, is that the weather is always changing. Inland, you can go for long periods with gloomy weather, but on the coast, there's always a sunny patch between storms. Usually even between squalls. It can get seriously wet, of course, but it's always an adventure.
Twenty Five Years
The person who makes it all work is my wife Alicia. I tell people that and they say I'm being modest, but in fact I wouldn't have any idea how to get an issue to the printer. She hunkers down with her Mac and with the help of a lot of others on the staff, it gets down every two months. It's always been an amazing thing to me.
Labels: Oregon Coast
The Mile by Mile Guide to Highway 101
We're very fortunate to have the help of the Oregon Coast Visitor Association in distributing the guide. It's through their support that we've been able to get more than 100,000 additional copies into circulation in the last couple years. The guide is online, but if you want a printed copy, just go to OCVA's Web site and request one. One will be mailed to you.
Labels: Oregon Coast
Wednesday, January 03, 2007
Enjoying Christmas in Astoria
I think every town should have something like the Astoria Column even if it doesn't do anything useful.